Governor Newsom’s reckless regulatory assault on California’s oil refineries has strangled the state’s energy supply, threatening consumers with skyrocketing gas prices while his green dreams remain decades from reality.
Story Highlights
- California loses 17-18% of gasoline refining capacity as Phillips 66 and Valero shut down major refineries by April 2026
- State crude production plummeted 65% since 2001 while regulators froze drilling permits for five years
- Chevron warns CARB’s cap-and-invest rules could drive gas prices to $15 per gallon and force remaining refineries to close
- California now imports fuel from India, South Korea, and the Bahamas despite committing to fossil fuel phase-out by 2045
California’s Self-Inflicted Energy Crisis
Phillips 66 closed its Los Angeles refinery in December 2025, and Valero will idle its Benicia facility by April 2026, eliminating nearly one-fifth of California’s gasoline production capacity. These shutdowns reflect an energy disaster entirely manufactured by Sacramento’s regulatory overreach. The California Air Resources Board implemented cap-and-invest amendments that dramatically increased emissions costs, making refining operations economically unviable. Meanwhile, CalGEM froze drilling permits for five years, choking off new production. The state’s crude output has collapsed 65% since 2001, falling from over 760,000 barrels daily to approximately 250,000 barrels.
Regulatory Stranglehold Forces Industry Retreat
Marathon Petroleum, operating California’s largest refinery at 365,000 barrels per day, warned that CARB’s rules would make operations unsustainable, triggering job losses and reduced tax revenues. Chevron’s Upstream President Andy Walz sent a blunt letter to Newsom, calling the regulatory environment an “adversarial shakedown” and predicting diesel and gasoline prices could hit $15 per gallon if additional refineries close. California now operates just seven refineries, down from fifteen historically. Industry experts predict one or two more could exit by 2032 if current policies persist, potentially driving in-state refining capacity to zero while Californians still consume 36-40 million gallons of gasoline daily.
Import Dependence Creates Vulnerability
California has become an isolated “energy island,” unable to easily import refined products from other states due to unique fuel specifications and environmental regulations. The state now imports nearly 400 million barrels annually, sourcing gasoline from the Bahamas, India, and South Korea to compensate for lost domestic capacity. The San Pablo Pipeline, transporting crude from Kern County oilfields to coastal refineries, dropped to just 15,000 barrels daily—one-quarter of cost-effective operating levels—losing $2 million monthly. This infrastructure deterioration reflects the broader collapse of California’s once-robust petroleum sector under regulatory assault that prioritizes climate virtue signaling over energy security and economic stability.
Dangerous Gap Between Policy and Reality
Newsom’s administration touts plans to phase out fossil fuels by 2045 while simultaneously negotiating with Valero to convert the Benicia refinery into a fuel import terminal after closure. This contradictory approach exposes the fundamental flaw in California’s energy transition: regulators are destroying viable infrastructure faster than alternatives can be deployed. Stanford economists suggest import terminals could offset lost production, but this strategy trades energy independence for vulnerability to global supply chains and price volatility. The timeline for electric vehicle adoption lags far behind refinery closure schedules, creating a dangerous gap period. Profit-cap rules on oil companies remain suspended until 2029, but the damage to California’s refining sector appears irreversible.
Economic and Security Consequences Mount
Refinery closures eliminate high-quality jobs and threaten petrochemical feedstocks essential for plastics and manufacturing. Higher energy costs will drive businesses from a state already facing economic pressures. Chevron warned that California’s collapsing refining capacity threatens military fuel availability, creating national security vulnerabilities. Consumers face the prospect of price shocks during high-demand periods or disruptions at remaining facilities. This crisis demonstrates what happens when ideologically driven politicians prioritize environmental posturing over practical energy policy. California’s working families will pay the price at the pump for years while Sacramento bureaucrats celebrate their regulatory “victories” against an industry they’ve successfully destroyed.
Sources:
California oil industry regulation – Sacramento Observer
Can California’s oil industry survive – California Policy Center
California’s energy crisis: Why oil refineries are closing – The Energy News Beat
Fuel volatility, refinery closures and how California businesses can prepare for 2026 – Gregs Petro
State of California Oil 2026: Accountability for oil companies – Consumer Watchdog
Iran war drilling in California – Los Angeles Times
Supplemental background: Why California refineries are closing – Stanford CEPP
Why California’s rising gas prices are a threat to national security – Independent Institute












